If the Election were held today (25 June)

I promised an update whenever the polling averages change significantly on RealClearPolitics. Well, since Sunday a few new polls have come out and shifted Michigan (sounds right) and Indiana (highly doubtful*) from from McCain to Obama. This gives Obama a winning electoral margin of 317-221 (270 are needed to win). In a [...]

If the Election were held today (22 June)

Based on the polling averages on Real Clear Politics, if the election were held today, Barack Obama would win by a narrow but comfortable margin in the electoral college, 289-249. 270 electoral votes are required.
Notes:

I have given a state to whomever is ahead in the polling average, regardless of how small the lead.
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